trmoore54

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About trmoore54

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    TOTAL NEWBIE

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  1. And the winner is…COMICLINK!! I posted a thread in Comics General back on April 3 as to whether the COVID19 effects would create a buyer’s market in the greater comics collecting world. Seemed logical that one might expect that, given the economic ramifications that ensued since March. And over the course of the thread, many board members have weighed in and quite a few people have expressed not only is it NOT a buyer’s market but in many cases has been an up-trending seller’s market. Granted, many of the reports are anecdotal and many refer to niche-y small markets. Several people voiced the opinion that the huge unemployment numbers were just a temporary setback and once the world and USA/Canada started opening back up people would return to their jobs and things would eventually return to normal. Especially for the unemployed who were essentially barred from working or opening their businesses depending on the nature of the business. So, as we have seen in the last month or so, (I’ll speak primarily of the US and California as my frame of reference) many people are returning to work and socially returning to support businesses etc. And yet we’ve had some start-backs and some re-shutdowns and we’re still not there yet…in many ways closer and in perhaps largely not yet out of the woods. So this pandemic environment is certainly fluid and the overall situation still in flux. I’m mostly interested in the SA market and primarily Marvel books…and even more primarily, ASM. So the ComicLink Auction that featured many many HG ASM in the past week and that closed yesterday, I’d thought I’d do a small sample analysis to see what results we might glean from it. And I only focused on the AF15/ASM1-50 issues, which were 58 books. And as always, I found these results interesting to say the least. The first thing that I always check, is did the final sales price actually make any of the sellers any money. When selling through an auction house bear in mind you have to realize an 11% profit to earn a 1% profit. My analysis, only compares the sale price to the current market expectation, which is primarily in this case the most recent GPA sale or an average of recent GPA sales (not an absolute definition of the market by any means but sound enough for this analysis I feel). In this regard, I am thinking how I would feel…I am deciding to sell the book for whatever reason but I am assuming most sellers would like to make a profit. And especially in a HG Auction, can I set a new higher market price for my effort. These emotions can swing both ways, for the buyer as well. The buyer wins the book at market or less and initially feels “I got a good deal”…and then perhaps reflects, is the price level trending downward. Would be of more concern for the quick flippers than the long-haul collector. There are other explanations as well such as ASM 13 where hype took this book to a high of about $7500+ with most recent sale of $6600 and now a sale of $6211. Oh to speculate. Granted, this analysis doesn’t take into account for net gain or profit the buyer’s purchase price, as any number of the sellers could’ve bought the book at any point in the past at a lower or much lower price. But it is a barometer I feel and does provide some information about expectations and the current market. Some people did well over market…while many others lost (don’t forget that 10% commission). The net losses for the 2 lower grade AF15s were an approximate 20% hit (and again, I think this title fluctuates quite a bit on any given grade point depending on overall appearance, page quality etc. that dictates that all 4.5s or 3.0s are not equal, and that applies to all books and grades). Most of the books that achieved 35% or greater net gains were specialized, more “one off” type books, either selectively rare HG books or a Pedigree. I realize also that movie hype and other anticipations affect certain books and they will fluctuate more than other books…I don’t keep track of all of those things. Only 7 of the 58 books achieved a 36% or greater net gain. For the ASM 39s, 9.6 and 9.4, would you be bummed if you had a 30% and 13% net loss respectively? Lastly, and this is I think the most interesting. I think the 10% commission makes it really hard to make money on comics unless you hold them for some time…talking 5 years or more in many cases. The 58 books realized a total sales of $461,025 providing CLINK with a tidy $46,103 commission. The $8,508 aggregate net gain provided the sellers an aggregate net gain of 1.8%. Note the following: Issue 18 9.8 highest grade 1 of 5 Issue 21 9.4 Northland Pedigree Issue 22 9.4 Suscha News Pedigree Issue 36 9.8 highest grade 1 of 5 Issue 38 9.8 highest graded white pages COMICLINK AUCTION 8.25.2020 MARKET ANALYSIS ASM 1-50 SALES ISSUE GRADE MARKET FINAL SALE DELTA % G/L CL COMM NET SALE NET GAIN NET% G/L AF15 7.5 120000 138779 18779 0.156 13878 124901 4901 0.041 AF15 4.5 29334 27010 -2324 -0.079 2701 24309 -5025 -0.171 AF15 3.0 18000 16001 -1999 -0.111 1600 14401 -3599 -0.200 1 7.5 26000 29250 3250 0.125 2925 26325 325 0.013 1 4.5 8700 10775 2075 0.239 1078 9698 998 0.115 2 8.0 6196 7887 1691 0.273 789 7098 902 0.146 3 9.0 8950 12250 3300 0.369 1225 11025 2075 0.232 4 9.0 9000 10777 1777 0.197 1078 9699 699 0.078 5 8.5 3420 3422 2 0.001 342 3080 -340 -0.099 6 9.4 10800 9752 -1048 -0.097 975 8777 -2023 -0.187 7 9.2 4500 5500 1000 0.222 550 4950 450 0.100 8 9.4 4200 3800 -400 -0.095 380 3420 -780 -0.186 9 9.2 6860 6376 -484 -0.071 638 5738 -1122 -0.163 10 9.4 2730 3355 625 0.229 336 3020 290 0.106 11 8.0 1925 2105 180 0.094 211 1895 -31 -0.016 12 9.4 4063 3968 -95 -0.023 397 3571 -492 -0.121 13 9.0 6600 6211 -389 -0.059 621 5590 -1010 -0.153 14 9.4 14400 18750 4350 0.302 1875 16875 2475 0.172 15 9.2 6300 8350 2050 0.325 835 7515 1215 0.193 16 9.6 6573 6889 316 0.048 689 6200 -373 -0.057 17 9.2 2400 2161 -239 -0.100 216 1945 -455 -0.190 18 9.8 16730 16750 20 0.001 1675 15075 -1655 -0.099 18 9.4 2032 2250 218 0.107 225 2025 -7 -0.003 19 9.6 2078 1900 -178 -0.086 190 1710 -368 -0.177 20 9.4 5655 8988 3333 0.589 899 8089 2434 0.430 21 9.4 2600 4351 1751 0.673 435 3916 1316 0.506 22 9.4 2500 2100 -400 -0.160 210 1890 -610 -0.244 23 9.2 1500 1620 120 0.080 162 1458 -42 -0.028 24 9.2 760 1125 365 0.480 113 1013 253 0.332 25 9.4 2200 1955 -245 -0.111 196 1760 -441 -0.200 25 9.2 1240 1325 85 -0.193 133 1193 -48 -0.038 26 9.6 2269 2351 82 0.009 235 2116 -153 -0.067 26 9.2 726 1128 402 0.554 113 1015 289 0.398 27 9.4 1920 1751 -169 -0.088 175 1576 -344 -0.179 28 9.2 5325 8050 2725 0.512 805 7245 1920 0.361 28 9.0 3300 4602 1302 0.395 460 4142 842 0.255 29 9.6 3107 2911 -196 -0.063 291 2620 -487 -0.157 30 9.2 660 757 97 0.147 76 681 21 0.032 31 9.2 2650 3200 550 0.208 320 2880 230 0.087 32 9.2 562 570 8 0.014 57 513 -49 -0.087 33 9.6 1535 1511 -24 -0.016 151 1360 -175 -0.114 34 9.6 1920 2401 481 0.251 240 2161 241 0.125 35 9.2 575 502 -73 -0.127 50 452 -123 -0.214 36 9.8 6573 10602 4029 0.613 1060 9542 2969 0.452 37 9.6 3840 3524 -316 -0.082 352 3172 -668 -0.174 37 9.2 930 951 21 0.023 95 856 -74 -0.080 38 9.8 2250 7510 5260 2.338 751 6759 4509 2.004 38 9.6 2250 1771 -479 -0.213 177 1594 -656 -0.292 39 9.6 7200 6968 -232 -0.032 697 6271 -929 -0.129 39 9.4 4100 3233 -867 -0.211 323 2910 -1190 -0.290 40 9.4 2640 3152 512 0.194 315 2837 197 0.075 41 9.4 3150 6100 2950 -0.062 610 5809 2659 0.844 42 9.4 1900 1975 75 0.051 198 1778 -123 0.011 43 9.2 600 650 50 0.083 65 585 -15 -0.025 44 9.2 820 884 64 0.078 88 796 -24 -0.030 45 9.6 1035 876 -159 -0.154 88 788 -247 -0.238 46 9.4 1110 1712 602 0.542 171 1541 431 0.388 49 9.4 500 550 50 0.100 55 495 -5 -0.010 50 9.2 5040 5101 61 0.012 510 4591 -449 -0.089 461025 46103 8508 0.018
  2. Hey Jeff/Bill/all In line with my Comics General post COVID19...BUYER'S MARKET? I performed an analysis of the AF15/ASM1-50 (58 books less the sig series ones) to see what this small sample size might indicate. I'll try and have the results up tonight or tomorrow at the latest. I am happy to all those that acquired books they were after whatever the price they paid. But there were as many or more HG books that took a hit versus new highs and sale prices. How about the two 39s, 9.6 and 9.4 respectively, whereby (per my analysis) the seller's realized net losses of 30% and 13% respectively. The AF15 4.5 and 3.0 also fell below "market". As always the big winner in all of this...wait for it...COMICLINK! And the ASM Annual 1 9.8 (HG 1 of 5 books) realized an insane price. Several people wanted that one bad. Far eclipsed the last GPA recorded sale of the legendary Pacific Coast copy for $28643 in August 2012...8 years ago...
  3. Most all observations, reports and accounts here are anecdotal...which is fine but does not necessarily convey all reality and truth. And a lot of these areas and items are quite niche-y. Current CLINK Auction has as many uber/HG ASM I've seen in some time 1-50+ (seems like someone unloaded their HG collection) so I will be curious to see for these the final sales prices. I will go so far as to say or feel that the market has remained fairly stable but I do not see any significant or slightly significant uptick in Silver Age market (my interest)...
  4. Open to offers and discounts on multiple books. For starters, offering the two restored books 8 and 13 for $2250 (25% discount). And the 7 and 11 for $6500 (13% discount). THX FOR LOOKING...
  5. Oops. Forgot I sold #15 back in March. Memory not what it used to be.
  6. FANTASTIC FOUR 13 CGC 9.0 OWW RESTORED (P) CGC 1106764008 APRIL 1963 1st appearance of the Red Ghost and the Watcher. Full page ad for TOS 39 and ASM 1. Stan Lee story. Jack Kirby and Steve Ditko art. Jack Kirby cover art. Professional restoration includes: Small amount of color touch on cover, small amount of glue on spine of cover, cover cleaned. GPA $3400 Nov 2015. Stan Lee Sig Series $3550 Nov 2019. $1500 ASK PRICE OBO Most recent GPA sale $6000 blue label June 2020.
  7. FANTASTIC FOUR 11 CGC 9.0 OWW CGC 1102753002 Hand-written date stamp in pen on cover FEBRUARY 1963 Origin and first appearance of the Impossible Man. Origin of the FF retold. Sum-Mariner pin-up. Jack Kirby and Ayers art. Jack Kirby cover art. GPA $4000 last sale June 2019. $4000 ASK PRICE OBO Most recent GPA sale $3995 May 2020.
  8. FANTASTIC FOUR 8 CGC 9.0 OWW RESTORED SLIGHT (A) CGC 1793572007 NOVEMBER 1962 First appearance of the Puppet Master (Phillip Masters) and Alicia Masters Jack Kirby and Ayers cover and story art. Amateur restoration includes: Small amount of color touch on cover. GPA $2308 2017 average (4 books) $1500 ASK PRICE OBO Most recent GPA sale $6000 for blue label 9.0 May 2020.
  9. FANTASTIC FOUR SILVER AGE CGC 9.0 CGC 1027769004 FANTASTIC FOUR 7 CGC 9.0 OWW OCTOBER 1962 First appearance of Kurrgo. Flying saucer cover. Jack Kirby and Ayers art. Jack Kirby cover art. $3500 ASK PRICE FIRM (What I paid for the book/Drummy) No recent GPA information, last sale May 2017. There is a very faint about 1/2-inch diagonal crease lower right corner probably preventing the 9.2 grade.
  10. Well here it is August 2020 in this new time we live in. Thought I'd trot these remaining FFs out to gauge any interest... DETAILS Shipping USA/Canada. Free USPS Priority box Insured. Elsewhere actual cost less USA cost (excluding Mars…missed the flight). Packing. Guaranteed legendary packing to ensure safe arrival. Payment. Cash, check, money order preferred. Will consider Paypal on circumstances. Time payments available pending negotiation. Typically like the book to be paid off within 4 months. Ineligible buyers. No deadbeats, hosers, losers, scammers, Hall of Shamers or other shady characters. Flippers welcome!