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Giant Size X-Men #1 for investment?
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792 posts in this topic

For a Bronze age book I won't go as low as 2.0 to see the swing. So I did 9.2, 8.0 and 5.0....all show a nice increase for IH 181. However, it's not as steep an increase in a key book as I would like to see. For me, it's the 5 year swing and % of increase

 

9.2 shows a steady increase

2015

(2) $3,600Hi $2,950Lo

 

2014

(22) $3,200Hi $1,937Lo

 

2013

(41) $2,330Hi $1,795Lo

 

2012

(29) $2,295Hi $1,500Lo

 

2011

(23) $1,895Hi $1,308Lo

 

2010

(24) $2,500Hi $1,098Lo

 

2009

(22) $1,950Hi $1,300Lo

 

2008

(20) $2,195Hi $1,235Lo

 

2007

(34) $1,995Hi $1,100Lo

 

2006

(20) $1,550Hi $900Lo

 

2005

(41) $1,725Hi $1,000Lo

 

2004

(61) $1,600Hi $1,050Lo

 

2003

(51) $1,725Hi $1,035Lo

 

2002

(31) $1,550Hi $810Lo

 

 

 

An 8.0 shows a rise also

 

2015

(4) $1,750Hi $1,675Lo

 

2014

(42) $2,041Hi $850Lo

 

2013

(29) $1,550Hi $751Lo

 

2012

(25) $1,170Hi $499Lo

 

2011

(34) $1,016Hi $580Lo

 

2010

(32) $1,000Hi $593Lo

 

2009

(39) $1,043Hi $620Lo

 

2008

(29) $925Hi $500Lo

 

2007

(32) $850Hi $461Lo

 

2006

(37) $847Hi $400Lo

 

2005

(40) $800Hi $474Lo

 

2004

(27) $772Hi $490Lo

 

2003

(46) $949Hi $450Lo

 

2002

(19) $776Hi $430Lo

 

 

 

 

5.0 shows a nice increase over time

2015

(1) $900Hi

 

2014

(15) $965Hi $500Lo

 

2013

(17) $699Hi $485Lo

 

2012

(14) $640Hi $348Lo

 

2011

(12) $435Hi $275Lo

 

2010

(6) $475Hi $323Lo

 

2009

(11) $400Hi $250Lo

 

2008

(13) $337Hi $197Lo

 

2007

(12) $450Hi $228Lo

 

2006

(13) $281Hi $188Lo

 

2005

(11) $275Hi $203Lo

 

2004

(13) $336Hi $193Lo

 

2003

(19) $500Hi $188Lo

 

2002

(5) $291Hi $193Lo

 

 

 

 

That's some good info Mark! Cool stats. An eye opener for sure!

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As soon as I saw the title (and I know someone else said it) I thought DD #1.

 

With some luck you can pick-up a nice midgrade for your money. Just needs the TV show to be moderately successful (don't forget a new movie is at the end of these 4 new series) and DD #1 will boom

 

Grossly underated book.

 

And no, I don't own one.

Edited by Beige
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can't go wrong with Hulk 181.

 

ever.

 

Daredevil #1 is very common about twice as common as X-men #1 and 3 to 4 times as common as the other early 60's keys.

 

 

also i wouldnt invest in comics based on movies or television shows right now.

 

stick to the tried and true titles and teams that were popular regardless of movie.

 

mainly the top 3:

 

Wolverine

Batman

Spider-man

 

so Hulk 181 bro...

 

the marvel movie machine will implode in a few years and 10 years form now everything will just be Batman Wolverine and Spider-man out of fear of cramming too muhc 'superhero' down audiences throats. all it takes is a disney flop, will it be Ant MAn or Dr Strange??

 

eventually these marvel movies will start to flop and the studios will just shrink it down to the top 3 heroes like time always reveals.

 

 

basically

 

X-men comics sell

 

Spider-man comics sell

 

Batman comics sell

 

 

everything else basically wont matter

Edited by sonicyouth
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"The value of IH 181 is at least 70% based on movies. If Wolverine never made it there he would be not be considered a key."

 

 

 

I STRONGLY disagree with this statement.

 

I think the movie speculation effects the B, C and D list characters way more than someone as popular as Wolverine.

 

How much was a 181 worth in the nineties. Couple hundred bucks at most? Then the movies came and it skyrocketed to what it is today. You will not see a huge increase in value for this book over the long haul like 20 years or so because it doesn't have the stamina.

 

Cheers, Howard

 

 

It's been a four figure book for 20 years.

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Hulk 181 is not a movie hype book. Wolverine is Marvel's second most popular character and has been for some time.

 

Regarding the drastic decrease in 9.8 copies - when they were selling north of 20K this was because there were so few 9.8's, as soon as more came on the market there was a swift downward adjustment in price. That being said the mid-high grade copies (8.0 - 9.2) have been increasing year over year and the lower grade copies (3.0 - 6.0) are also ballooning.

 

That being said - buy what you like. Both GSXM 1 and Hulk 181 are incredible books IMO, but I am also a big X-Men fan so take that with a grain of salt ;)

 

 

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"The value of IH 181 is at least 70% based on movies. If Wolverine never made it there he would be not be considered a key."

 

 

 

I STRONGLY disagree with this statement.

 

I think the movie speculation effects the B, C and D list characters way more than someone as popular as Wolverine.

 

How much was a 181 worth in the nineties. Couple hundred bucks at most? Then the movies came and it skyrocketed to what it is today. You will not see a huge increase in value for this book over the long haul like 20 years or so because it doesn't have the stamina.

 

Cheers, Howard

 

 

It's been a four figure book for 20 years.

 

Amen. Hulk 181 was a hot book when I was 12 years old...that was 1988. It's hotter than ever right now. Bottom line, it is a great book with a hugely popular character that has already proven to be generational and no matter how many copies CGC reports as graded, demand has always outweighed supply. It is the next generations AF 15 to me. On a smaller scale this same argument applies to GS X-Men 1. Great book with immense importance and a demand outweighing supply. Beyond Apple and Google, it's difficult to find stocks with as good a track record...

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Capture181_zpsj06wn2nx.jpg

 

9.8 of any comic is a bad choice for "sizing the market' on a value.

 

I tend to look at 9.2 as a baseline then I look at 5.0 and then 2.0 to get a real grasp of the market.

 

 

+ infinity. Its one of the worse examples ever for demonstrating the overall value growth of Hulk 181.

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The answer to "what comics to invest in?" the answer is: none.

 

If you want to invest, find a nice matching retirement account, and put your money there. Or land.

 

Those of you who think you should "invest in comics" probably weren't active from 1990-2002. Yes, I know some of you were, but if you were, you weren't paying attention.

 

The current market for comics is like nothing that has ever been in comics, and cannot last. If you buy what you like, because you like it, and if it rises in price, bonus, then you'll be fine.

 

Otherwise...look out below!

 

 

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This may not go over very well with this particular crowd but I foresee women having an even bigger buying power in the next 30 years. Women now outnumbering men in college and I can't imagine those numbers aren't going to creep higher. I think books like X-Men 266 would be a good investment since Gambit could resonate with female fans. BA 12 and NM 98 may not be able sustain the upward trend but who knows what the world will look like in 20 years.

 

But back to the OP question - I'd go with the 181. I'd bank on wolverine remaining more relavent compared to Storm, night crawler and Colossus.

 

I think this is a great point! Its amazing how many women collect comics and go to cons nowadays.

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Very good point. The last stock I picked was Countrywide Financial, so my investment track record is spotty, at best :cry:

 

As many others have said, buy to collect and enjoy. Anything else will be a bonus (thumbs u

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The answer to "what comics to invest in?" the answer is: none.

 

If you want to invest, find a nice matching retirement account, and put your money there. Or land.

 

Those of you who think you should "invest in comics" probably weren't active from 1990-2002. Yes, I know some of you were, but if you were, you weren't paying attention.

 

The current market for comics is like nothing that has ever been in comics, and cannot last. If you buy what you like, because you like it, and if it rises in price, bonus, then you'll be fine.

 

Otherwise...look out below!

 

 

Can you be more specific? The 90s was horrible from a modern perspective where all these moderns were climbing in price then boom the bottom dropped

 

But, Silver Age keys have always climbed in price. Go look at a 1980 price guide and see what Hulk 1 was valued at....see what it is today. See what it was in 1990. It has always climbed.

 

Same with TOS 39, JIM 83, AF15, ASM 1....I have not seen a decline in the demand or value of these books. Some years have stayed more steady than others and some have had huge spikes (like AF15 some years ago and Hulk 1 this past year).

 

Hulk 181 and GSXM to me will continue to rise and stay in demand.

 

NM 98...maybe not. Variant of the week....not at all.

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The answer to "what comics to invest in?" the answer is: none.

 

If you want to invest, find a nice matching retirement account, and put your money there. Or land.

 

Those of you who think you should "invest in comics" probably weren't active from 1990-2002. Yes, I know some of you were, but if you were, you weren't paying attention.

 

The current market for comics is like nothing that has ever been in comics, and cannot last. If you buy what you like, because you like it, and if it rises in price, bonus, then you'll be fine.

 

Otherwise...look out below!

 

 

Very well said. If your company has a 401k match then you'd be a fool not to invest there. Even without a match your money will grow faster tax free in the stock market than it will with comic books. With much, much, much, much, much less risk.

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No kidding , if the Op is looking for a 30 year investment he better build a nice diversified stock portfolio with help of a financial expert. Comics are simply a hobby not an investment and if you are fortunate enough to recoup your initial investment or more consider yourself blessed. To expect or even count on a profit it is foolhardy.

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Unfortunately not everyone is fortunate enough to work for a company that offers matching 401 k benefits, stock options, etc. And if someone is willing to put $500, $1000 into one comic book, he would be foolish to not treat it at least as a quasi-investment. That's a lot of money to most people.

 

I would pick the IH 181 as well from an "investment" standpoint, but it's definitely not by a landslide. Let's not overlook or minimize the importance of GSXM 1. It was, after all, not just the first appearance of storm, nightcrawler, etc, but also of the classic x men team that brought the title back from the dead. It's also wolverine's first appearance as an "x-man" (and 2nd full overall). This book is cheaper than 181 and is far less common on the census. It wouldn't take much for this book to spike, perhaps not to 181 numbers, but it could conceivably close the gap. The 181 is probably a safer bet but with it's lower entry point the GSXM 1 probably has more upside.

 

lol Okay I just changed my mind, the GSXM 1 might actually be the better pick after all.

 

-J.

 

 

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The answer to "what comics to invest in?" the answer is: none.

 

If you want to invest, find a nice matching retirement account, and put your money there. Or land.

 

Those of you who think you should "invest in comics" probably weren't active from 1990-2002. Yes, I know some of you were, but if you were, you weren't paying attention.

 

The current market for comics is like nothing that has ever been in comics, and cannot last. If you buy what you like, because you like it, and if it rises in price, bonus, then you'll be fine.

 

Otherwise...look out below!

 

 

Very well said. If your company has a 401k match then you'd be a fool not to invest there. Even without a match your money will grow faster tax free in the stock market than it will with comic books. With much, much, much, much, much less risk.

Who has ever lost money on a mid grade af15 over 5 years?

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Hulk 181 is not a movie hype book. Wolverine is Marvel's second most popular character and has been for some time.

 

Regarding the drastic decrease in 9.8 copies - when they were selling north of 20K this was because there were so few 9.8's, as soon as more came on the market there was a swift downward adjustment in price. That being said the mid-high grade copies (8.0 - 9.2) have been increasing year over year and the lower grade copies (3.0 - 6.0) are also ballooning.

 

That being said - buy what you like. Both GSXM 1 and Hulk 181 are incredible books IMO, but I am also a big X-Men fan so take that with a grain of salt ;)

 

 

I'm sorry I am not seeing it. Looking at comic trend.com the only big money for 181 has been with 9.8 and over the past ten years you saw a peak in 09 and then a precipitous fall since to well below 03 levels.

 

Yeah you can argue that 8,8.5 and 9 are doing ok but for what you have to pay for a raw book it's not worth it. I am looking at eBay right now and there is a raw 8 ending in 15 hours already over $1000 and climbing. That is just eating into your profit margins.

 

The philosophy of investing in big key issues for the ordinary joe collector is plain stupid. Sorry guys. They are already too expensive to get a decent copy and in the case of 181 it will never gain the value you need to offset the purchase price. I don't care if you wait a 100 years to sell. The book is over rated and that is already reflected in price fluctuations that are scary at best. Real keys which hardly any of us can afford don't fluctuate like that.

 

That's why buying small and smart like I said in an earlier post is the best way. Plus it's more fun.

 

Cheers, Howard

 

PS let the cat calling begin.

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I would invest that 800 in Gold/Silver.

 

+1,000,000

 

Collecting comic books is just a hobby - it's no more than that IMO. Unless of course you're buying your "key" books for a penny on a dollar.

 

Invest on Gold for sure! Talk to a financial advisor and see what he/she has to say.

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