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JOKER: THE MOVIE produced by Martin Scorsese (TBD)
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I find it hard to believe the phenomenal financial success of the Joker won't open the door to more experimental auteur film making in this genre. Eagerly awaiting David Cronenberg's re-envisioning of Power Pack :)

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Another day, another milestone for WB’s Joker. The DC Films flick zoomed past Deadpool ($783 million) and Deadpool 2 ($785 million, but with $50 million from the PG-13 Once Upon a Deadpool cut) on Thursday to become the biggest R-rated movie ever in unadjusted global grosses. It earned $5.46 million on Friday (-36%) to bring its 22-day domestic cume to $264.144 million. That puts it, sans inflation, above the $259 million cume of Captain America: The Winter Soldier and the $262 million cume of The Amazing Spider-Man. There’s $30 million between Amazing Spider-Man and Man of Steel ($291 million), so Joker is sticking around in 18th place among comic book movies for awhile.

 

No matter, because the film also had, going into the weekend, a $788.3 million global cume, including $529.617 million overseas. That gave it a 32.8/67.1 domestic/overseas split. That also means that its current global cume is now around $805 million worldwide. So, yeah, Joker is now the first R-rated movie to pass the $800 million mark in unadjusted earnings. Yes, ticket prices are a lot more expensive (and overseas markets are far more expanded) than the days of, offhand, The Matrix Reloaded, Fatal Attraction and The Exorcist, but there’s also far more competition for the average consumer’s entertainment time and dollar. Moreover, Joker went out 2-D around the world, and hasn’t played in China.

 

The film should earn around $18 million (-39%) over the weekend, again placing in the top spot for one more weekend and bringing its 24-day domestic cume to $277 million. That will put it just under The Hangover ($277 million in 2009) and The Matrix Reloaded ($282 million back in 2003) among all-time R-rated domestic grossers. Once again, when you throw in It ($327 million) and American Sniper ($350 million in 2015), Warner Bros. has something of a near-monopoly (save for Passion of the Christ and the Deadpool movies) on upper-level R-rated biggies. Presuming it maintains the 32.8/67.1 split, the $60 million comic book flick will have around $845 million worldwide.

I wonder what was in that VIFF water when this ride kicked off?
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Joker has earned $571 million overseas, more than Batman v Superman, for an $849 million global cume, which is 15.43x its reported $55 million budget.

 

On Thursday, Joker passed Deadpool and Deadpool 2 to become the biggest R-rated movie of all time in global grosses. On Friday, it passed $800 million worldwide to become, well, the first R-rated movie to hit that benchmark, save for China’s unrated (but ultraviolent) Wolf Warrior 2 ($854 million in 2017). And today, Joker has topped the box office in its fourth weekend after dropping to second place last weekend, making it the top movie of the weekend, for what that’s worth, three out of its first four weekends. That’s as much about the competition, especially in this quiet weekend, and about Maleficent: Mistress of Evil’s failure to breakout, as it is about Joker. Still, the numbers speak for themselves.

 

Joker earned $18.9 million (-35%) in weekend four to bring its domestic cume to $277.584 million over 24 days of domestic release. That puts it, sans inflation, just about Gravity ($274 million in 2013/$303 million adjusted-for-inflation) to make it the biggest domestic grosser in October history. Once it passes Meet the Parents ($166 million in 2000/$278 million adjusted), Gravity and Look Who’s Talking ($141 million in 1989/$320 million adjusted), it’ll be the biggest October release even with inflation. Barring a fluke in either direction, it should end up $315-$320 million domestic. Will it continue to be the buzzy movie (for adults and older teens) of choice even after Terminator: Dark Fate, Doctor Sleep and Ford v Ferrari provide adult-skewing options?

 

Will it play a big role in the year-end awards race, or was its triumph at Venice something of a fluke? Joaquin Phoenix is probably going to get an Oscar nomination, and I still maintain that the film will stick around if only by virtue of its huge box office and relatively decent reviews. A lot depends on how well the rest of the Oscar line-up performs. If Ford v Ferrari, 1917, Jojo Rabbit, Bombshell and Little Women don’t really connect (or don’t breakout beyond limited release), then Joker will arguably end up toe-to-toe with Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Rocketman and whichever Netflix movies (The Irishman, A Marriage Story, etc.) end up moving to the top of the pack.

 

Joker is a stunning victory for Warner Bros., Village Roadshow and related parties, as it has earned another $47.8 million overseas, down just 38% even as Terminator: Dark Fate opened in a handful of overseas markets. That gives it a $571.5 million international cume (bigger than Batman v Superman’s $543 million overseas total) without a penny from China, for a $849 million global cume, just shy of Venom’s $856 million cume to become the biggest Fall release ever. If the official $55 million budget is accurate, then Joker has passed The Mask ($350 million from a $23 million budget) to become the most profitable comic book movie ever. If the budget is closer to $60 million, then it’ll still be there once it passes $914 million a week from today. Either way, it’ll net around $500 million in profits.

 

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On 10/14/2019 at 12:05 PM, paperheart said:

achieved/upcoming (possible) Joker BO milestones:

>$252MM, other Best Picture contender: Dark Phoenix

>$366MM, critical smash, BO dud: Shazam

>$700MM, WB's biggest clown: IT

>$785MM, R rated king: Deapool 2

>$856MM, critical dud, BO smash: Venom

>$974MM, 2019's biggest solo CB movie: Captain Marvel (ex China)

$850MM, Venom goes down in a day or two. $1BB a certainty.

Edited by paperheart
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